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Red83
331312.8
829811.2
591338.4
Blue50
818811.8
767715.5
436019.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653402040801008350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.41.5
35.036.5
Auto12.0
Teleop17.9
End8.4
red by 18.7
4360
#19
19.71.6
10.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End11.0
Second
3313
#24
12.82.5
12.314.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 2.7
7677
#16
15.51.6
14.516.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
8298
#40
11.22.5
9.512.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 0.7
8188
#29
11.81.6
10.612.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsEarned