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Red54
56589.8
363025.5
617517.4
Blue57
825516.3
829811.2
645318.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494601001505457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.0
20.821.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End6.1
red by 7.4
6453
#13
18.01.1
18.019.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End9.7
Second
6175
#34
17.41.0
17.418.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End10.1
red by 1.1
8255
#28
16.31.1
13.314.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End5.2
Third
5658
#41
9.81.0
7.18.1
Auto1.1
Teleop5.1
End3.6
blue by 1.4
8298
#40
11.21.1
12.013.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsMissed