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Red15
818811.8
72358.6
265418.8
Blue41
703810.2
253812.7
448018.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45472030405060701541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2654
#20
18.83.3
19.516.2
Auto7.0
Teleop5.1
End6.7
red by 0.4
4480
#21
18.40.7
18.217.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
Second
8188
#29
11.83.5
12.28.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 0.9
2538
#36
12.70.7
13.813.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End7.8
Third
7235
#43
8.63.3
11.07.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 1.5
7038
#25
10.20.7
11.811.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned