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Red46
327517.8
423912.9
330011.4
Blue17
59292.4
305812.4
703810.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35351020304050604617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
#10
17.80.7
14.315.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End6.3
red by 5.4
3058
#37
12.41.3
12.411.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Second
4239
#39
12.90.7
9.510.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 2.8
7038
#25
10.21.6
10.28.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End4.0
Third
3300
#44
11.40.9
10.010.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End5.3
red by 8.9
5929
#48
2.41.6
9.17.5
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed