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Red49
645318.0
842217.4
453923.3
Blue64
265418.8
460730.7
253812.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060801004964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#18
23.31.6
15.517.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End4.5
blue by 7.4
30.71.6
22.924.5
Auto10.9
Teleop9.9
End9.9
Second
6453
#13
18.01.6
10.612.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End9.7
blue by 0.7
2654
#20
18.82.0
10.312.2
Auto7.0
Teleop5.1
End6.7
Third
8422
#14
17.41.6
8.510.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.7
red by 4.7
2538
#36
12.72.0
9.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsMissed