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Red49
331312.8
88879.4
702833.8
Blue68
448018.4
565323.9
265418.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612040801001204968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.2
36.835.6
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End4.9
red by 9.9
23.90.6
24.224.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End11.1
Second
3313
#24
12.81.3
15.414.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 6.0
2654
#20
18.80.9
16.717.5
Auto7.0
Teleop5.1
End6.7
Third
8887
#22
9.41.2
10.79.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End4.0
blue by 8.9
4480
#21
18.40.9
17.518.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned