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Red59
288330.5
305812.4
72358.6
Blue38
32988.1
472832.6
829811.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040801005938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
30.50.9
28.429.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.3
End9.2
blue by 2.1
32.61.1
32.731.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End11.0
Second
3058
#37
12.40.7
12.713.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 1.3
8298
#40
11.21.5
12.611.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Third
7235
#43
8.60.9
7.78.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.9
red by 0.5
3298
#45
8.11.1
9.28.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsMissed