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Red32
310213.3
436014.9
329321.9
Blue35
8777.3
704816.0
453914.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6037020801003235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
Unranked
21.91.4
21.920.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 5.9
7048
Unranked
16.00.2
15.114.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End5.6
Second
4360
Unranked
14.91.4
16.114.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End10.0
red by 0.4
4539
Unranked
14.50.2
17.717.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End3.2
Third
3102
Unranked
13.31.4
15.213.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.5
red by 6.1
877
Unranked
7.30.2
4.84.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed