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Red46
8777.3
327514.4
329321.9
Blue75
72359.8
87640.0
310213.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356202040801004675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
Unranked
21.90.7
20.521.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.7
blue by 18.1
876
Unranked
40.01.1
35.736.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End11.8
Second
3275
Unranked
14.40.7
10.911.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End6.3
red by 1.1
3102
Unranked
13.31.1
13.814.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Third
877
Unranked
7.30.7
4.65.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End3.7
blue by 2.6
7235
Unranked
9.81.1
5.16.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned