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Red126
13347.4
13140.7
573526.4
Blue58
5832.7
7830.1
456433.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810240608012014016018012658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
47.40.1
48.248.1
Auto13.9
Teleop25.2
End8.2
red by 14.1
4564
#13
33.30.9
34.233.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End11.9
Second
131
#2
40.70.1
41.541.4
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End12.6
red by 8.0
58
#14
32.70.9
33.732.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Third
5735
#18
26.40.1
27.127.1
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.8
blue by 3.7
78
#10
30.10.9
31.030.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0