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Red125
8839.2
31931.1
107124.6
Blue107
237033.8
808526.1
174033.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99998090110120130125107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
39.20.6
38.339.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End10.9
red by 5.4
2370
#20
33.80.2
33.934.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End11.1
Second
319
#5
31.10.6
30.230.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End11.5
blue by 2.4
1740
#22
33.50.2
33.533.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Third
1071
#21
24.60.6
23.824.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End7.7
blue by 1.5
26.10.2
26.226.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End6.4