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Red76
404823.1
147418.1
237033.8
Blue80
169923.9
174033.5
573526.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80796070901007680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#20
33.80.1
31.831.7
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End11.1
red by 0.4
1740
#22
33.50.3
30.430.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Second
4048
#16
23.10.1
22.922.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.1
End7.6
blue by 3.3
5735
#18
26.40.3
25.225.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.3
End9.8
Third
1474
#35
18.10.1
19.018.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.0
blue by 5.7
1699
#11
23.90.3
20.420.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned