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Red116
8839.2
23046.5
7830.1
Blue90
175736.2
13140.7
320519.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12585406010014016018020011690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
46.50.0
48.448.4
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End12.5
red by 5.8
131
#2
40.70.1
39.039.1
Auto7.8
Teleop20.2
End12.6
Second
88
#8
39.20.0
35.535.5
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End10.9
red by 3.0
1757
#17
36.20.1
29.629.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Third
78
#10
30.10.0
28.428.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 10.2
3205
#33
19.90.1
16.616.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsEarned