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Red110
22830.7
346130.2
66319.4
Blue110
107327.1
615327.4
314629.2
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848360708090100110110110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#11
30.70.6
30.030.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End10.6
red by 1.5
3146
#29
29.20.7
27.628.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Second
30.20.6
29.530.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End12.0
red by 2.7
27.40.7
25.826.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Third
663
#33
19.40.6
18.719.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 7.7
1073
#30
27.10.7
25.526.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End7.3