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Red86
271325.2
176829.4
549417.9
Blue59
109914.4
6124.7
50918.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7663401001208659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#18
29.41.1
28.629.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
red by 4.7
61
#19
24.70.4
19.218.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End12.8
Second
2713
#16
25.21.1
24.725.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 6.3
509
#23
18.90.4
21.621.2
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End9.5
Third
5494
#38
17.91.1
16.317.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
red by 3.6
1099
#32
14.40.4
19.819.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsMissed