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Red90
16625.5
55822.6
12631.7
Blue110
620120.3
568741.9
632944.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82110406010012014016018020090110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#13
31.70.6
33.333.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End10.9
blue by 12.3
44.00.4
44.344.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
Second
166
#17
25.50.6
24.725.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End10.8
blue by 16.4
41.90.4
35.235.6
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
Third
558
#22
22.60.6
22.723.3
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End9.3
red by 2.3
6201
#24
20.30.4
20.520.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned