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Red68
16625.5
199120.8
109914.4
Blue71
17231.6
264821.6
584613.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716640506080901006871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#17
25.50.1
25.325.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End10.8
blue by 6.1
172
#7
31.60.6
28.629.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
Second
1991
#31
20.80.1
20.420.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 0.8
2648
#15
21.60.6
17.918.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Third
1099
#32
14.40.1
20.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 1.0
5846
#35
13.40.6
16.016.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsMissed