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Red133
22830.7
46717.1
632944.0
Blue83
6124.7
23729.5
55822.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927520406010012014016013383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.03.2
43.947.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
red by 14.6
237
#21
29.50.4
28.028.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Second
228
#11
30.73.2
25.729.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End10.6
red by 6.0
61
#19
24.70.4
21.922.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End12.8
Third
467
#25
17.13.2
14.718.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End5.2
blue by 5.5
558
#22
22.60.4
22.723.2
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned