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Red58
511211.6
107327.1
102718.7
Blue62
287727.8
715319.2
693324.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6081020401001201405862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#30
27.10.6
26.826.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End7.3
blue by 0.8
2877
#12
27.80.8
28.527.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
Second
1027
#37
18.70.6
18.818.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End10.1
blue by 5.9
6933
#27
24.60.8
25.224.4
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End2.6
Third
5112
#28
11.60.6
13.713.1
Auto6.0
Teleop3.6
End2.0
blue by 7.7
7153
#26
19.20.8
19.618.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned