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Red89
19534.6
802311.0
549417.9
Blue115
9544.7
314629.2
615327.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6495020408012014016089115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#10
34.61.4
35.036.4
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
blue by 10.1
95
#2
44.71.7
43.445.1
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
Second
5494
#38
17.91.4
16.918.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 11.3
3146
#29
29.21.7
25.527.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Third
8023
#34
11.01.4
12.313.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.8
End6.5
blue by 16.5
27.41.7
16.418.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned