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Red49
66319.4
6124.7
271325.2
Blue118
199120.8
17656.4
17231.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011820408010014016049118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#16
25.21.0
23.923.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End1.5
blue by 31.2
176
#3
56.41.0
53.354.3
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
Second
61
#19
24.71.0
21.820.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End12.8
blue by 6.9
172
#7
31.61.0
29.230.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
Third
663
#33
19.41.0
18.117.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 1.4
1991
#31
20.81.0
20.721.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned