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Red104
568741.9
287727.8
888913.0
Blue70
632944.0
549417.9
109914.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868570809010010470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.3
36.237.5
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
blue by 2.1
44.00.7
44.744.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
Second
2877
#12
27.81.3
28.029.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
red by 9.9
5494
#38
17.90.7
17.416.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
8889
#39
13.01.3
16.017.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.6
End3.6
blue by 1.4
1099
#32
14.40.7
18.117.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed