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Red94
55822.6
19534.6
9544.7
Blue83
715319.2
17656.4
46717.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179560801401601809483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#2
44.71.6
45.443.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
blue by 11.6
176
#3
56.41.4
54.352.9
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
Second
195
#10
34.61.6
36.935.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
red by 15.3
7153
#26
19.21.4
21.219.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Third
558
#22
22.61.6
24.422.7
Auto7.6
Teleop5.8
End9.3
red by 5.5
467
#25
17.11.4
16.114.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned