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Red83
620120.3
66319.4
17231.6
Blue95
804623.9
16625.5
287727.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72830501001508395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#7
31.60.4
30.230.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
red by 3.8
2877
#12
27.81.0
29.330.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
Second
6201
#24
20.30.4
21.321.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End10.6
blue by 5.2
166
#17
25.51.0
24.125.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End10.8
Third
663
#33
19.40.4
17.117.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 4.5
8046
#14
23.91.0
23.424.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned