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Red67
287727.8
23729.5
318211.2
Blue104
206730.0
804623.9
346130.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73725060809010067104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#21
29.50.1
23.623.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
blue by 0.7
30.22.3
21.924.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End12.0
Second
2877
#12
27.80.0
27.927.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
blue by 2.2
30.02.3
26.729.1
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End9.1
Third
3182
#36
11.20.0
16.316.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End5.9
blue by 12.7
8046
#14
23.92.3
20.222.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned