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Red83
46717.1
287727.8
549417.9
Blue94
12631.7
271325.2
264821.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648702040801001201408394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#12
27.80.8
29.830.6
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End9.1
blue by 3.9
126
#13
31.71.0
33.734.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End10.9
Second
5494
#38
17.90.8
17.618.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 7.2
2713
#16
25.21.0
25.326.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Third
467
#25
17.10.8
15.516.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End5.2
blue by 4.5
2648
#15
21.61.0
19.720.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned