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Red95
199120.8
19534.6
314629.2
Blue107
804623.9
17231.6
23844.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110440608012014016095107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#10
34.60.5
36.035.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End9.6
blue by 9.6
238
#1
44.20.7
42.142.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.1
End11.6
Second
3146
#29
29.20.5
27.827.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End10.3
blue by 2.4
172
#7
31.60.7
30.831.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
Third
1991
#31
20.80.5
23.122.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End4.5
blue by 3.1
8046
#14
23.90.7
23.324.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned