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Red150
17656.4
23844.2
584613.4
Blue83
176829.4
568741.9
693324.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221005015015083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
56.40.7
55.656.3
Auto15.6
Teleop28.2
End12.7
red by 14.4
41.90.3
42.341.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
Second
238
#1
44.20.7
43.444.1
Auto12.5
Teleop20.1
End11.6
red by 14.8
1768
#18
29.40.3
29.829.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
Third
5846
#35
13.40.7
12.613.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 11.2
6933
#27
24.60.3
24.924.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End2.6