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Red121
176829.4
568741.9
693324.6
Blue104
206730.0
17231.6
23729.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10196406080120140121104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.6
41.542.0
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
red by 10.3
172
#7
31.60.3
31.531.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
Second
1768
#18
29.40.6
29.029.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.4
End7.8
blue by 0.5
30.00.3
29.930.2
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End9.1
Third
6933
#27
24.60.6
24.124.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.3
End2.6
blue by 4.9
237
#21
29.50.3
29.329.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3