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Red122
632944.0
9544.7
102718.7
Blue106
107327.1
615327.4
314629.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238150100150200122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#2
44.70.3
45.846.0
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End11.5
red by 15.5
3146
#29
29.20.4
28.629.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Second
44.00.3
45.145.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
red by 16.6
27.40.4
26.827.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Third
1027
#37
18.70.3
19.419.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End10.1
blue by 8.4
1073
#30
27.10.4
26.426.9
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End7.3