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Red75
209626.1
171035.7
598729.4
Blue120
709420.0
301543.2
363038.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610505015020025075120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#51
35.71.3
35.033.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 7.5
3015
#14
43.20.4
40.641.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
Second
5987
#28
29.41.3
31.430.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End10.0
blue by 9.1
3630
#13
38.60.4
39.239.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
Third
2096
#63
26.11.3
24.523.2
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
red by 6.1
7094
#62
20.00.4
18.018.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned