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Red101
62337.6
884824.1
164036.9
Blue99
871119.1
182536.9
57332.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078620406012014016018010199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#38
37.60.1
35.235.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End14.3
red by 0.7
1825
#22
36.90.7
35.436.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
Second
1640
#16
36.90.1
39.038.9
Auto8.9
Teleop20.4
End7.6
red by 4.5
573
#46
32.40.7
30.230.9
Auto7.4
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
8848
#59
24.10.1
23.723.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
red by 5.0
8711
#42
19.10.7
18.218.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned