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Red106
205434.9
153341.9
728532.4
Blue133
97356.2
516633.5
558725.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118126050100150200250300106133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#21
41.90.7
43.642.9
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
blue by 14.3
973
#10
56.20.2
58.759.0
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
Second
2054
#47
34.90.7
36.435.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.0
End11.3
red by 1.4
5166
#66
33.50.2
35.135.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Third
7285
#53
32.40.7
32.131.4
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
red by 7.0
5587
#49
25.50.2
23.824.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned