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Red106
524214.7
420650.8
171128.9
Blue89
258231.0
248640.6
39915.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101902040608012014010689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#24
50.80.6
48.749.3
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End9.5
red by 10.2
2486
#35
40.60.0
39.739.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
Second
1711
#58
28.90.6
30.531.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End13.7
blue by 2.1
2582
#67
31.00.0
31.331.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End9.7
Third
5242
#65
14.70.6
14.114.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End6.9
blue by 1.2
399
#56
15.90.0
14.514.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned