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Red136
293035.3
168447.0
333947.8
Blue121
545818.4
36534.8
2762.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401206080100160180200220136121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
48.748.9
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
blue by 14.5
27
#12
62.30.4
63.162.7
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
Second
1684
#18
47.00.2
45.745.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
red by 12.2
365
#27
34.80.4
34.333.9
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Third
2930
#54
35.30.2
34.334.6
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 16.9
5458
#72
18.40.4
17.617.2
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned