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Red41
86518.7
888510.4
873218.3
Blue137
348927.5
703446.7
299039.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40125010015020025041137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#64
18.70.5
19.719.3
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.5
blue by 28.1
46.72.1
42.344.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.2
End12.1
Second
8732
#75
18.30.5
18.317.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End1.0
blue by 20.7
2990
#30
39.12.1
38.940.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
Third
8885
#69
10.40.5
10.09.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 17.1
3489
#39
27.52.1
25.027.0
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned