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Red132
384743.8
115343.1
11433.2
Blue103
870918.8
62337.6
171035.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288750100150200132103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#36
43.81.1
42.243.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 6.2
623
#38
37.61.1
35.136.2
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End14.3
Second
1153
#11
43.11.1
39.740.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End12.0
red by 7.4
1710
#51
35.71.1
33.734.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
Third
114
#33
33.21.1
33.234.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
red by 14.4
8709
#70
18.81.1
17.919.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned