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Red76
248640.6
871119.1
870918.8
Blue130
439240.2
11151.8
319620.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912905010015020076130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#35
40.60.3
41.741.4
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
blue by 11.2
111
#6
51.80.3
49.850.1
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
8711
#42
19.10.3
12.512.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
blue by 21.1
4392
#25
40.20.3
41.141.4
Auto10.7
Teleop20.9
End8.5
Third
8709
#70
18.80.3
18.117.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End6.2
blue by 2.1
3196
#68
20.90.3
22.823.1
Auto7.4
Teleop3.6
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed