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Red41
541435.6
742122.1
709420.0
Blue72
505039.7
524214.7
306525.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777440601004172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#55
35.62.1
34.632.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.2
End9.7
blue by 4.1
5050
#41
39.70.1
38.939.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.9
End12.6
Second
7421
#29
22.12.5
20.517.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
blue by 2.9
3065
#71
25.00.1
16.416.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End9.0
Third
7094
#62
20.02.3
17.214.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End6.2
red by 5.3
5242
#65
14.70.1
14.915.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned