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Red136
516633.5
884824.1
333947.8
Blue126
752729.2
363038.6
384743.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511150150200136126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.82.4
45.848.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
red by 4.0
3847
#36
43.81.5
45.346.8
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
Second
5166
#66
33.52.4
35.237.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
blue by 5.1
3630
#13
38.61.5
36.838.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
Third
8848
#59
24.12.4
18.521.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
blue by 5.2
7527
#19
29.21.9
21.122.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned