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Qual 82022 Newton Division
Red113
153341.9
182536.9
346131.6
Blue103
728532.4
439134.8
171128.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171100200300400500113103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#21
41.90.8
43.9→43.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
red by 7.1
4391
#61
34.80.6
36.5→35.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End10.4
Second
1825
#22
36.90.8
34.9→34.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
red by 4.5
7285
#53
32.40.6
36.9→36.3
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
Third
3461
#5
31.60.8
30.2→29.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End12.3
red by 2.7
1711
#58
28.90.6
30.9→30.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned