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Red78
490937.0
241228.8
81835.1
Blue135
684423.2
168447.0
291058.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913605010015020025078135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#32
37.00.5
33.232.7
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End9.9
blue by 21.0
58.00.7
59.660.2
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
Second
818
#31
35.10.5
30.229.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
blue by 11.9
1684
#18
47.00.7
39.640.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Third
2412
#34
28.80.5
17.717.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.9
red by 5.5
6844
#60
23.20.8
21.522.3
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned