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Red81
5139.2
888510.4
293035.3
Blue91
198645.8
552610.3
11433.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827840601001208191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#57
39.20.0
36.136.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End11.9
blue by 6.6
1986
#17
45.81.1
38.439.5
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End7.5
Second
2930
#54
35.30.0
36.836.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 2.1
114
#33
33.21.1
28.229.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
Third
8885
#69
10.40.1
3.43.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
red by 0.1
5526
#76
10.31.1
7.48.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsMissed