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Red126
248640.6
293035.3
182536.9
Blue118
558725.5
300540.9
57332.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120100050150200126118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#35
40.60.8
39.740.5
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
blue by 0.4
3005
#52
40.91.5
41.142.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
Second
1825
#22
36.90.8
36.236.9
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
red by 4.6
573
#46
32.41.5
30.932.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
2930
#54
35.30.8
34.635.3
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
red by 9.9
5587
#49
25.51.5
24.025.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned