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Red130
212248.3
168447.0
545818.4
Blue111
728532.4
742122.1
5139.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12489050100150200130111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.2
48.850.0
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
red by 9.1
51
#57
39.21.0
38.139.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End11.9
Second
1684
#18
47.01.2
45.947.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
red by 14.6
7285
#53
32.41.0
31.432.4
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
Third
5458
#72
18.41.2
17.218.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
blue by 3.7
7421
#29
22.11.0
18.619.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned