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Red118
439134.8
58738.3
301543.2
Blue136
11151.8
420650.8
348927.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12114150100200250118136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#14
43.20.1
42.943.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
blue by 8.6
111
#6
51.80.4
53.153.6
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
587
#40
38.30.1
38.238.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End11.4
blue by 12.5
4206
#24
50.80.4
49.349.7
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End9.5
Third
4391
#61
34.80.1
34.734.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End10.4
red by 7.4
3489
#39
27.50.4
27.027.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsMissed