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Red58
684423.2
205434.9
552610.3
Blue91
870918.8
363038.6
258231.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721000501505891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#47
34.90.9
35.734.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.0
End11.3
blue by 3.7
3630
#13
38.60.2
39.739.5
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
Second
6844
#60
23.20.9
24.123.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
blue by 7.8
2582
#67
31.00.2
31.231.0
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End9.7
Third
5526
#76
10.30.9
11.110.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 8.5
8709
#70
18.80.2
19.018.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsMissed83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsMissed