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Red102
16628.5
299039.1
167635.2
Blue61
439134.8
293035.3
545818.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999605015020025010261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#30
39.10.6
36.637.2
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
red by 3.7
2930
#54
35.32.0
36.934.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
Second
35.20.6
30.230.8
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
red by 0.3
4391
#61
34.82.0
35.934.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End10.4
Third
166
#8
28.50.6
25.926.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End11.2
red by 10.1
5458
#72
18.42.0
17.815.8
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed