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Red146
884824.1
291058.0
171035.7
Blue111
5139.2
348927.5
300540.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119100050150200146111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.02.5
60.262.7
Auto14.8
Teleop30.6
End12.6
red by 17.1
3005
#52
40.91.0
43.844.8
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
Second
1710
#51
35.72.5
27.930.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 3.5
51
#57
39.21.0
36.237.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End11.9
Third
8848
#59
24.12.5
21.023.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
blue by 3.4
3489
#39
27.51.0
16.417.4
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned