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Red85
384743.8
888510.4
684423.2
Blue119
153341.9
709420.0
36534.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749705015020085119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#36
43.80.6
46.847.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 1.9
1533
#21
41.92.1
43.145.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
Second
6844
#60
23.20.6
22.322.9
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
blue by 11.5
365
#27
34.82.1
30.132.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Third
8885
#69
10.40.6
3.44.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 9.6
7094
#62
20.02.1
14.917.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsEarned